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Grand RoundsWeekly Evidence Brief

Cardiothoracic Surgery

Edition

30-Second Takeaway

  • High-volume Ross centers and surgeons achieve substantially lower operative mortality, supporting centralization of this demanding procedure.
  • Frailty in older lobectomy patients strongly predicts complications, early mortality, and failure-to-rescue, warranting routine frailty screening.
  • Cerebral atherosclerosis burden scoring plus machine learning may sharpen ischemic stroke prediction and neuroprotection in CABG.

Week ending March 7, 2026

Refining perioperative risk, hemodynamics, and structural innovation in contemporary cardiac and aortic practice

Higher Ross program volume associates with lower operative mortality as adult use rises

JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN COLLEGE OF CARDIOLOGYMar 4, 2026

Among 2,268 adult Ross procedures at 194 centers, utilization increased sharply after a 2017 nadir, especially in patients ≤60 years. Ross procedures rose from 0.9% to 6.7% of aortic valve replacements in adults ≤60 years between 2017 and 2023. Operative mortality decreased from 4.4% in 2008 to 1.0% in 2020, with a subsequent increase to 2.5% in 2023. Higher center and surgeon Ross volumes were independently associated with lower operative mortality, with substantial benefit beyond roughly 10 cases annually.

Frailty powerfully predicts early adverse outcomes after lobectomy in older adults

JOURNAL OF GERIATRIC ONCOLOGYFeb 28, 2026

In 110,460 lobectomy patients aged ≥65 years, frailty prevalence ranged from 5.7% to 19.8% depending on the frailty index used. Frail patients experienced markedly higher complication rates, higher hospitalization costs, and were less likely to be discharged home than non-frail peers. Frailty was independently associated with increased failure-to-rescue and 14-day in-hospital mortality across both frailty definitions. Frailty accounted for most early deaths within frail patients and a notable share of deaths in the overall cohort.

TCAB score and machine learning enhance stroke prediction after CABG

JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN HEART ASSOCIATIONMar 4, 2026

In 909 CABG patients, those with in-hospital ischemic stroke had substantially higher Total Cerebral Atherosclerosis Burden (TCAB) scores than those without stroke. A TCAB score >3 predicted in-hospital ischemic stroke with an AUC of 0.756, indicating moderate discrimination. Higher TCAB independently predicted in-hospital and 1-year ischemic stroke, as well as 1-year MACCE, after multivariable adjustment. A gradient boosting model incorporating TCAB yielded AUCs around 0.87 for in-hospital and 1-year stroke, and 0.75 for 1-year MACCE.

References

Numbered in order of appearance. Click any reference to view details.

Additional Reads

Optional additional studies from this edition.

Edition context

Clinical signal

  • Volume–outcome relationships remain pronounced for complex valve surgery, reinforcing selective referral to experienced Ross programs.
  • Frailty and metabolic risk indices are emerging as low-cost, high-yield tools for perioperative risk stratification and follow-up planning.
  • Imaging-derived cerebrovascular scores and machine learning may better target neuroprotection interventions in CABG patients.