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Grand RoundsWeekly Evidence Brief

Trauma Surgery

Edition

30-Second Takeaway

  • A combined anatomy-plus-trauma-action definition (nMT+) better discriminates 24-hour mortality than ISS>15 alone.
  • Pediatric pressure-injury prediction models are promising but currently limited by bias and poor external validation.

Week ending June 13, 2026

Selected trauma and surgical evidence briefs for bedside decisions

Pediatric pressure-injury risk models show discrimination but high bias and poor applicability.

ADVANCES IN WOUND CAREJun 10, 2026

Twelve pediatric pressure-injury prediction models from nine studies had AUCs ranging 0.612–0.978, with seven >0.75. All models were rated high risk of bias by PROBAST and most had major applicability concerns. Calibration reporting and external validation were inconsistent; only two studies assessed clinical utility. Common methodological flaws included low events-per-variable, poor missing-data handling, and single-center development.

Protocol to quantify attrition timing in hand and wrist trauma RCTs.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEWSJun 13, 2026

This protocol will meta-analyze attrition at predefined intervals: 30 days, 90 days, 6 months, and 12 months. It targets prospective randomized trials of hand and wrist trauma to identify at-risk patients and key loss-to-follow-up timepoints. Planned subgroup analyses include demographics, intervention type, and injury characteristics to inform retention strategies. Results aim to produce a toolkit to improve follow-up and reduce attrition bias in future trials.

nMT+ (ISS>15 or trauma-team actions) improves mortality discrimination versus ISS alone.

ANNALS OF SURGERYJun 11, 2026

Using 2,676,710 NTDB records, nMT+ classified 22.4% as major trauma and had AUROC 0.83 for 24-hour mortality. nMT+ identified 29% more in-hospital deaths and 26% more 24-hour deaths than ISS>15 or HITS alone. HITS alone had the highest positive likelihood ratio for 24-hour mortality, but nMT+ had the lowest negative likelihood ratio (better rule-out). Authors conclude nMT+ is a more comprehensive major trauma definition than ISS>15 alone.

References

Numbered in order of appearance. Click any reference to view details.

Additional Reads

Optional additional studies from this edition.

Edition context

Clinical signal

  • For triage, consider trauma-team actions alongside ISS when identifying major trauma.
  • Be cautious adopting pediatric PI models without external validation and calibration checks.
  • In severe TBI, review local early-tracheostomy rates and monitor WLST patterns after tracheostomy.